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    Home»Latest News»LIVE: Election 2025 – Why Peter Dutton believes the Coalition can still win the election despite grim poll results
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    LIVE: Election 2025 – Why Peter Dutton believes the Coalition can still win the election despite grim poll results

    May 3, 202517 Mins Read
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    LIVE: Election 2025 - Why Peter Dutton believes the Coalition can still win the election despite grim poll results
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    By NICK WILSON FOR DAILY MAIL AUSTRALIA

    Published: 00:18, 3 May 2025 | Updated: 05:11, 3 May 2025

    After a whirlwind 35 day federal election campaign Australians on Saturday will decide who will lead the nation for the next three years. 

    If Anthony Albanese is victorious, he will be the first Prime Minister to be granted a second term since former Liberal leader John Howard in 2004. 

    If Peter Dutton is handed the top job, it will mark the first time a first term government has been kicked out of office since 1931. 

    A late-night Newspoll on Friday revealed Labor was on track to win, ahead of the Coalition 52.5 per cent to 47.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.

    Both leaders are expected to be out campaigning on Saturday morning. 

    Follow Daily Mail Australia’s live coverage of the final day of the Federal Election campaign as Aussies head to the polls to cast their vote. 

    How much does a democracy sausage cost in Albo’s electorate?

    A democracy sausage is currently selling for $6 at Marrickville Public School in Anthony Albanese’s electorate of Grayndler in Sydney’s inner west.

    A bacon and egg roll is $7.50 and a vegan sausage is $6.50.

    Meanwhile, in the city’s eastern suburbs, a ‘Double Bay, Double Pay’ democracy sausage is selling for double the price.

    Customers can also opt to donate towards a new ‘nature playspace’ under the menu item ‘Hey Big Spender’.

    Other standout menu items include the $7 ‘Albacheesy’, identical to the Democracy Sausage but with cheese, and the ‘Pork Barrell’ bacon, egg and brioche combination.

    The democracy sausage is expected to appear on menus outside over 1700 polling booths across the country today, bringing home an estimated $4million for community organisations.

    People get their "Democracy Sausage" at the Marrickville Public School in Sydney, Australia, Saturday, May 3, 2025, after voting in the general election. (AP Photo/Rick Rycroft)

    Pictured is the queues for a democracy sausage at Marrickville Public School, in Anthony Albanese’s electorate of Grayndler on Saturday

    Smiles for Albo and family as incumbent PM casts his vote

    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been pictured casting his vote alongside son Nathan and fiancé Jodie Haydon.

    The trio stopped in to Marrickville West Public School on Saturday afternoon within the Labor leader’s home electorate of Grayndler in Sydney’s inner-west.

    ‘It’s my local booth, if we don’t win this booth, we’re in real trouble,’ he told the Sydney Morning Herald.

    With a margin of 17.3 per cent, Grayndler is among the safest Labor seats in the country, but the Prime Minister was there to cast his vote like everyone else.

    Besides, an image is worth a thousand votes.

    The Labor leader reportedly asked for a Senate how-to-vote card before spending less than a minute villing out his ballot.

    ‘I voted for him,’ Nathan said standing alongside his father as the pair slipped their ballots into the green and white boxes.

    The incumbent PM was all smiles on arriving to the school, where he was pictured chatting with volunteers and holding his dog Toto.

    He will now head to the nearby suburb of Five Dock on his final stop of the campaign before the vote count starts rolling in.

    SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese casts his ballot at Marrickville West Public School alongside his fiancée, Jodie Haydon, and his son, Nathan, on May 03, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australians will vote on Saturday in a federal election that will decide the next government and shape the nation's direction on key issues like housing, cost of living, energy and healthcare. The election comes when international relations are fraught and will be watched closely globally. (Photo by Asanka Ratnayake/Getty Images)
    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese carries his dog Toto after casting his vote at a polling booth at Marrickville West Public School in the electorate of Grayndler on Election Day of the 2025 federal election campaign, Sydney, Saturday, May 3, 2025. (AAP Image/Lukas Coch) NO ARCHIVING

    Peter Dutton is transformed into Donald Trump on campaign poster

    Peter Dutton has been depicted as Donald Trump, with his signature hairstyle, on a campaign poster at a Melbourne polling booth.

    The poster with the slogan ‘Put Dutton last’ was pictured outside a booth at Balwyn Primary School in the electorate of Kooyong on Saturday.

    It comes after the Opposition Leader was accused of trying to transform Australia into America with Trump-inspired policies.

    From anti-DEI sloganeering, cuts to the public service and a proposed Doge-style government efficiency drive, the comparisons were there to be drawn.

    But the back half of the election campaign has been dominated by attempts by the Coalition Leader to distance himself from the US President.

    It’s no wonder, given polling by the Australia Institute in February found Australians viewed Trump as a graver threat to world peace than Russian President Vladimir Putin or Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

    Pundits have drawn comparisons between the recent electoral victory of Canadian Prime Minister incumbent Mark Carney whose favourability sky-rocketed after taking a strong anti-Trump stance.

    While Mr Dutton has made clear attempts to stand firm in support of Ukraine against the hostilities of President Trump, the Australian public clearly understood the ‘Temu-Trump’ line of attack was capable of drawing blood.

    A campaign corflute depicting Leader of the Opposition Peter Dutton as US president Donald Trump at Balwyn Primary School in the electorate of Kooyong on Election Day in Melbourne, Saturday, May 3, 2025. Australians head to the polls to elect the federal government. (AAP Image/Joel Carrett) NO ARCHIVING

    Is this Australia’s most expensive ‘democracy sausage’?

    The well-heeled Sydney neighbourhood of Double Bay has long been jokingly referred to as ‘Double Bay, Double Pay’.

    The local school has taken it one step further and is selling ‘Double Bay, Double Pay’ sausages today – they’re exactly the same as a $6 ‘Democracy Sausage’… but cost twice as much at $12.

    Democracy has never come cheap.

    If the $12 Double Bay, Double Pay sausage is not dear enough, customers can also opt to donate towards a new ‘nature playspace’ under the menu item ‘Hey Big Spender’.

    Other standout menu items include the $7 ‘Albacheesy’, identical to the Democracy Sausage but with cheese and the ‘Pork Barrell’ bacon, egg and brioche combination.

    With a median house price just shy of $7million and an average salary of $354,000, it’s difficult to imagine Double Bay residents will be lining up to order the sad ‘Cozzie Livs’ cost-of-living option which features only a snag in white bread.

    The democracy sausage is expected to appear on menus outside over 1700 polling booths across the country today, bringing home an estimated $4million for community organisations.

    If the Double Bay price point is prohibitive, hungry voters can find a more affordable option at democracysausage.org.

    The ‘quiet’ Australians Dutton is banking on to win government

    Peter Dutton remains confident Aussies will defy polling and push the Coalition over the line in today’s federal election.

    Asked by reporters in Melbourne this morning whether he expected to secure victory, the Opposition Leader answered: ‘Absolutely, I do.’

    Earlier, he told Nine’s Weekend Today program a grand final contender can’t afford to entertain the chances of failure.

    ‘You can’t go to the grand final talking like that. You can only talk about winning,’ he said.

    ‘I think there are a lot of quiet Australians out there who may not be telling their neighbours how they’re voting, but I think they’re going to go into the polling booth and say, you know what, I’m not going to reward Anthony Albanese for the last three years,’ he said.

    Whether his certainty is genuine or an instance of game day posturing is not clear but one thing is for sure: the outcome is anything but guaranteed.

    Polling would suggest the real money is to be made betting on the size of Labor’s victory, rather than the likelihoood of the victory itself.

    But Mr Dutton knows better than to bet the house on opinion polls.

    (FILES) Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (L) talks with Australia's Opposition Leader Peter Dutton at the Wishing Tree at Parliament House in Canberra on November 6, 2024. Australia holds a general election May 3, 2025, a hard-fought contest between party leaders with sharply contrasting visions for the country. (Photo by TRACEY NEARMY / AFP) (Photo by TRACEY NEARMY/AFP via Getty Images)

    In an interview with ABC Radio on Friday morning, he suggested a repeat of Scott Morrison’s unlikely 2019 electoral win could be on the cards.

    ‘I think we’re seeing a 2019 situation, where you’ve got a lot of interesting contests playing on the ground,’ he said.

    The Prime Minister also acknowledged on Friday the 2019 election demonstrated the ‘folly of pretending that you know the outcome of an election before the ballots are counted’.

    Asked whether he feared a similar fate to then-Labor leader Bill Shorten, Mr Albanese said: ‘I certainly take nothing for granted.

    ‘I have a mountain to climb.’

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese addresses the National Press Club on Day 33 of the 2025 federal election campaign, Canberra, Wednesday, April 30, 2025. (AAP Image/Lukas Coch) NO ARCHIVING

    ‘I hope you lose’: US social media star slams Liberal Party

    A famous US social media influencer has called on Australians to vote against the Liberal Party after claiming it had blocked him before copying his unique style.

    Ray William Johnson, 43, made the allegations in a video posted across his well-followed social media profiles on Saturday morning.

    With a combined nearly 40million followers across TikTok, YouTube and Instagram, the video has already attracted millions of views.

    The influencer claimed his ‘style’ had been copied in a video posted to the Liberal Party’s official TikTok page on Friday captioned ‘This guy is in real trouble’,

    ‘It’s clearly a tribute to my video style, which is cool and flattering… However, this isn’t some regular TikToker,’ he said.

    ‘This video was made by the Liberal Party of Australia which, I had to look this up, they’re one of the major parties in Australian politics.’

    Mr Johnson said things got ‘weird’ when he realised his account appeared to have been ‘pre-emptively’ blocked by the Liberal Party’s TikTok page.

    ‘What kind of government political party are you?’ he asked.

    ‘You know what, the next election you guys have, I hope you lose. I hope everyone goes out and votes for the other guy.’

    The video has attracted thousands of comments, including one user who wrote: ‘The elections today. Well they lost my vote now.’

    Another wrote: ‘I’m disappointed in my own country… deepest apologies from Australia.’

    The Liberal Party of Australia has been contacted for comment.

    Mayor erupts as 1.5hour queues form outside polling booths in one state

    Some Aussies have been waiting up to an hour and a half to cast their vote in today’s federal election.

    Voters in the Docklands area of Melbourne’s CBD are waiting more than an hour to vote at The District shopping centre, according to reports from The Sydney Morning Herald.

    Lord Mayor Nick Reece said the lack of pre-polling stations in the CBD was a ‘baffling decision’ that ‘goes against our democratic ethos’.

    There was only one polling station opened in North Melbourne.

    Older voters and people with access issues have reportedly been able to jump the queue and go straight to the front.

    The extensive wait times are occurring despite a record number of people voting early before election day.

    When early voting opened last Tuesday, about 542,000 people lined up and cast their vote compared with 314,000 on the first day of early voting ahead of the 2022 election.

    By Monday afternoon, 2.95million Aussies already cast their vote out of the 18million enrolled to vote, according to the Australian Electoral Commission.

    SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Early morning swimmers place their vote at Bondi Surf Bathers' Life Saving Club in Bondi Beach on May 03, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australians headed to the polls on Saturday for the 2025 federal election, where all 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 of 76 Senate seats are up for grabs. This election is especially consequential due to a tightly contested race, with cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign. Though most polls indicate a narrow Labor victory against the Liberal-National coalition, the result could also lead to a hung parliament, reflecting the growing influence of independents and minor parties, and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Australia in the years ahead. (Photo by Lisa Maree Williams/Getty Images)
    NEWCASTLE, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Attendees line up to cast their vote at The Junction Public School on May 03, 2025 in Newcastle, Australia. Australians headed to the polls on Saturday for the 2025 federal election, where all 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 of 76 Senate seats are up for grabs. This election is especially consequential due to a tightly contested race, with cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign. Though most polls indicate a narrow Labor victory against the Liberal-National coalition, the result could also lead to a hung parliament, reflecting the growing influence of independents and minor parties, and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Australia in the years ahead. (Photo by Roni Bintang/Getty Images)
    SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: A poster of Australia's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is displayed as people queue to vote in a general election at a polling station in the suburb of Marrickville on May 3, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australians headed to the polls on Saturday for the 2025 federal election, where all 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 of 76 Senate seats are up for grabs. This election is especially consequential due to a tightly contested race, with cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign. Though most polls indicate a narrow Labor victory against the Liberal-National coalition, the result could also lead to a hung parliament, reflecting the growing influence of independents and minor parties, and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Australia in the years ahead. (Photo by Izhar Khan/Getty Images)

    The suburbs that could win Peter Dutton the election

    Peter Dutton’s Coalition needs to gain more than 20 seats to win today’s federal election.

    He heads into the election with 54 seats and requires an extra 22 to reach the magic number of 76 required to form majority government.

    The Coalition must pick up seats Labor holds by slim margins including Bennelong which is held by Labor’s Jerome Laxale, but is notionally a Liberal seat after redistribution.

    Gilmore on the NSW South Coast is another must-win seat after it was the closest seat in the country last time and the Coalition has the well-known candidate in Andrew Constance.

    Lyons in Tasmania and Lingiari, which covers most of the Northern Territory, are also big targets for Mr Dutton.

    Tagney (2.85 per cent), Paterson (2.6 per cent) and Hunter (4.78 per cent) are the other marginal seats the Coalition have identified as crucial wins.

    If it wins five of those seven seats it will make nearly a quarter of the ground it needs for a majority government.

    Mr Dutton wants to chart a course back to government through Australia’s outer suburbs.

    “All I want to do is to make sure that we don’t forget about those in the suburbs, and I do think they are the forgotten people,” he said in 2022.

    There’s also a number of seats in Victoria which Mr Dutton and the Coalition will be eying off.

    Bruce (5.31 per cent margin), Holt (7.11 per cent), and Hawke (7.62 per cent) as well as Chisholm (3.33 per cent) and McEwen (3.82 per cent), are Victorian seats the Coalition will be trying to flip in their favour.

    MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Opposition leader Peter Dutton (C), alongside Liberal candidate for Goldstein Tim Wilson (R), visit a cafe on May 03, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. Australians will vote on Saturday in a federal election that will decide the next government and shape the nation's direction on key issues like housing, cost of living, energy and healthcare. The election comes when international relations are fraught and will be watched closely globally. (Photo by Dan Peled/Getty Images)

    Independent MP son accuses Liberals of booting his elderly mum from the party

    Independent MP for Calare Andrew Gee has slammed the NSW Liberal Party over its alleged decision to expel his elderly mum from supporting him at a polling booth.

    Mr Gee, a former Nationals MP, said his mother had received a letter from the Liberal Party advising her she had been expelled from the party after being pictured assisting her son at a polling booth in Orange.

    ‘Today, my mum was expelled from the Liberal Party for helping me out on a polling booth in Orange. They sent her a letter after somebody took a photo and sent it to them,’ he wrote on Facebook.

    ‘They have a general election tomorrow and they have time to send my mum (who is in her eighties) an expulsion letter. Wow. You can’t make it up.’

    The letter, dated May 2, said the expulsion had been made pursuant to the party’s constitution.

    ‘I have been made aware of your public support and assistance of the independent candidate for the House of Representatives Electoral District of Calare, Andrew Gee, against the endorsed candidate for the Nationals – NSW, the Division’s Coalition partner,’ state director Chris Stone wrote.

    Attached was a photo of Ms Gee along with a statement her behaviour was likely to result in ‘damage to the reputation of the Division or the Organisation’.

    It added her conduct could reduce the ‘Division’s or Organisation’s prospects of success at the upcoming federal election’.

    Ms Gee was informed she had the right to appeal the decision with the state council.

    Her son has held the seat of Calare since 2016, first representing the Nationals before standing as an independent.

    It is understood he left the party to oppose its stance on the Voice referendum.

    Andrew Gee MP

    Independent MP Andrew Gee is pictured

    Ms Gee is pictured at a polling booth in Orange

    Albanese dodges question about Dutton, compliments his wife Kirilly instead

    Anthony Albanese said Peter Dutton was a ‘good family man’ when asked by Sunrise host Monique Wright to say ‘one good thing about your opponent’.

    ‘I get on very well with Kirilly. Kirilly has been by his side during the campaign as well. It’s tough on families… and Peter is clearly very close to his, and that’s a good thing,’ he told the breakfast program on Sarturday.

    ‘We don’t take this personally, but we have very different views about the country.

    ‘We have different values and that comes out in an election campaign. But isn’t it good that in a democracy tonight, whoever wins, the person conceding will make a phone call and we’ll have a peaceful transition?

    ‘That doesn’t happen in every country.

    ‘That’s something that Australians should be really proud of.

    ‘We are a strong democracy.’

    SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - APRIL 27: Opposition Leader Peter Dutton is joined by wife Kirilly Dutton (L) during a Liberal Party campaign launch in the seat of Mackellar on April 27, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australia will head to the polls on May 3, early voting for the 2025 Australian election has also been highly successful, with more than 524,000 people casting their ballots on the first day alone-breaking previous records. (Photo by Dan Peled/Getty Images)

    Peter Dutton and his wife Kirilly are pictured.

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, partner Jodie Haydon and Labor candidate for Menzies Gabriel Ng  visit a polling booth in the electorate of Menzies on Election Day of the 2025 federal election campaign, Melbourne, Saturday, May 3, 2025. (AAP Image/Lukas Coch) NO ARCHIVING

    Anthony Albanese and his fiancée Jodie Haydon are pictured on Saturday.

    Albo gets testy when grilled about the Voice

    Anthony Albanese was quick to correct ABC News host Dan Bourchier during a discussion about the Uluru Statement from the Heart.

    Bourchier questioned the Prime Minister, who started his day at the MCG on Saturday, over Labor’s commitment to implementing the statement.

    ‘No, Dan, I will correct you there,’ Mr Albanese interrupted.

    ‘I will correct you there because you and I have discussed this issue many times. The idea that that came out on election night is, of course, absurd.

    ‘That is just spin from the other side.

    ‘I committed to that in the 2019 campaign.

    ‘The entire time I was Opposition Leader. Every time I gave an acknowledgement of country… we put that to the Australian people and that was a missed opportunity.’

    Mr Albanese said his party had accepted the defeat of the Voice but was still committed to practical reconciliation.

    ‘I think it’s outrageous, frankly, that those opposite have tried to run a scare campaign on this during the election,’ he said.

    ‘It beggars belief, but then again, if you can walk out on an apology, as Peter Dutton did, then that says a lot about your character.’

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese arrives for Breakfast TV interviews at the MCG on Election Day of the 2025 federal election campaign, Melbourne, Saturday, May 3, 2025. (AAP Image/Lukas Coch) NO ARCHIVING

    Anthony Albanese is seen at the MCG on Saturday, election day morning

    Final Newspoll results deal harsh blow to both Albo and Dutton

    Peter Dutton has urged voters not to lose hope, claiming there are many ‘quiet Australians’ not reflected in last-minute Labor-positive polling.

    The final Newspoll of the federal election campaign released on Friday night put Labor well ahead of the Coalition on a two-party-preferred basis at 52.5 and 47.5 per cent, respectively.

    Mr Dutton told voters not to underestimate the share of ‘quiet’ voters holding out hope for the Coalition.

    ‘We’ve got a united team, and I think there are a lot of quiet Australians out there who may not be telling their neighbours how they’re voting, but I think they’re going to go into the polling booth and say, you know what, I’m not going to reward Anthony Albanese for the last three years,’ he told Nine’s Weekend Today this morning.

    ‘And I think the other mob can manage the economy more effectively, can keep us safe in a really uncertain time, and can try to bring the crime rates down in our local suburbs as well. I think they’re all, you know, the thoughts that are going through people’s minds at the moment.’

    While Labor was no doubt heartened to know it was well out ahead as the prime candidate to secure government, the polling gave it reason to fear it might not be doing so in majority.

    The combined share of the primary vote held by both major parties has dropped to a record low as voters increasingly look towards minor parties and independents.

    Leader of the Opposition Peter Dutton at a car dealership in Kalamunda, western suburbs of Perth on day 14 of his 2025 Federal Election Campaign in the seat of Bullwinkel, Friday, April 11, 2025. (AAP Image/Mick Tsikas) NO ARCHIVING
    MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Prime Minister of Australia Anthony Albanese does live TV interviews at the MCG on May 03, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. Australians will vote on Saturday in a federal election that will decide the next government and shape the nation's direction on key issues like housing, cost of living, energy and healthcare. The election comes when international relations are fraught and will be watched closely globally. (Photo by Asanka Ratnayake/Getty Images)

    At the last federal election, battered by the so-called ‘teal wave’, the major parties secured a combined 68.3 per cent of the primary vote.

    If the latest Newspoll prediction holds true, their share will have dropped to 67 per cent – with a three per cent gain in primary share vote for One Nation and two per cent for The Greens.

    The two minor parties are on track to secure 13 per cent and eight per cent of the primary vote, respectively.

    Clive Palmer’s Trumpet of Patriots and the teals are expected to account for a further 12 per cent combined.

    Millions of Aussies head to polling booths to cast their vote

    Voting is now underway in all but one state as Australians line up to make their pick for the next prime minister.

    A record number of Australians had already cast their votes before polls opened at 8am across the country but the results won’t start showing until 6pm.

    According to the Australian Electoral Commission, 6.7million Australians had cast their ballots at pre-polls before polling booths officially opened at 8am this morning.

    Another 1.6million had already submitted a postal vote, bringing the share of early voters to about 40 per cent.

    With all major opinion polls pointing to a Labor victory, the question most punters will be asking is whether Albanese has plead his case for a majority government.

    Most recent polling suggests that, while Labor has managed to elbow its way to two-party-preferred dominance, its primary vote share has been diluted by independents.

    Mr Dutton meanwhile has referred to the polling against him as overly-pessimistic, urging voters to remain open-minded.

    Both leaders began their days in Melbourne – the city and its surrounds in which many punters expected the election to be decided.

    Later in the day, Albanese will cast his vote in his home seat of Grayndler along with his fiance Jodie and dog, Toto.

    The Opposition Leader Peter Dutton, meanwhile, began his day in the safe Labor seat of Macnamara in Melbourne’s south.

    Despite a healthy 12.2 per cent margin, the Coalition is looking for an upset after Labor revealed it would preference the Liberal candidate ahead of the Greens in the seat.

    A man grills sausages for voters who have cast their ballots in Australia's general election outside a polling station at the Bondi Surf Bathers Life Saving Club in Sydney on May 3, 2025. Australians started voting on May 3 in a bitterly contested general election, deciding a contest shaped by living costs, climate anxiety and Trump tariffs. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP) (Photo by DAVID GRAY/AFP via Getty Images)
    SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - MAY 03: Voters wait for the polls to open to cast their ballots for a general election at a polling station in the suburb of Marrickville on May 3, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Australians headed to the polls on Saturday for the 2025 federal election, where all 150 seats in the House of Representatives and 40 of 76 Senate seats are up for grabs. This election is especially consequential due to a tightly contested race, with cost-of-living pressures, affordable housing, and energy policy dominating the campaign. Though most polls indicate a narrow Labor victory against the Liberal-National coalition, the result could also lead to a hung parliament, reflecting the growing influence of independents and minor parties, and potentially reshaping the balance of power in Australia in the years ahead. (Photo by Izhar Khan/Getty Images)
    Peter DuttonAnthony Albanese

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