Adam Bandt election results and latest on Melbourne, Kooyong, Bradfield: Jacqui Lambie’s fate revealed as Tasmanian senator faces an astonishing scare: Our political editor PVO makes HUGE call on key race against Pauline Hanson’s daughter

In his first public comments since his graceful concession speech on Saturday night, Peter Dutton thanked those who had ‘offered their good wishes’.

‘There are a lot of people who have been very kind and generous in their remarks,’ he told reporters outside the airport in Canberra.

He added: ‘I’ve spoken to my colleagues and the Liberal party rebuilds from here’.

He also spoke about how he wanted to see a smooth and supportive transition of power.

‘This best model I’ve seen I s where leaders, former, make a graceful exit from politics and maintain their graceful silence, so that’ll be my model,’ he said.

Jacqui Lambie will win another term in the senate unless something goes terribly wrong for her in the Tasmanian senate showdown.

She’s currently holding onto the sixth and final senate position in the Apple Isle as counting continues, but with Tasmanian voters more inclined to vote below the line in the senate than voters in any other state do, expect Lambie to find her pathway to victory.

Lambie (pictured with podcaster Abbie Chatfield below) has a very high profile, especially in Tasmania, making it a safe bet that she’ll win a good share of votes from voters who choose to cast ballots below the line.

One Nation, which is her biggest threat, tends to be supported more frequently by above the line supporters who simply follow the ‘how to vote’ card.

She’s also helped by expected preferences from the Legalise Cannabis party, whose voters will favour Lambie more than Pauline Hanson’s daughter, who many thought would win the final Tasmanian senate spot ahead of Lambie.

So while it will take some time for the Senate race in Tasmania to be formally declared, I’m happy to go out of a limb and say that short of a minor miracle for her opponents, Lambie is set to serve in the Senate for six more years.

Liberal challenger Tim Wilson has declared victory over Teal MP Zoe Daniel in Goldstein – with a swipe at the Climate 200-backed candidate.

He said ‘everyone has written us off’ after Daniel ousted him in 2022.

‘We started the process by listening, by engaging with the community, when everyone had written us off, listened, engaged and understood – what was the decision of the basis that was made. Why was it made? What did we need to learn?’ he told a crowd of volunteers.

But then he took a swipe at Daniel, who received the most funding of any independent candidate from Simon Holmes a Court’s Climate200 fundraising vehicle.

Her campaign was given $546,000, which represents 28 per cent of her recorded Climate200 donations.

‘We did not have massive cheques written to us by entities based in Sydney who treat the community like it was an acquisition in a trust fund,’ Wilson said.

‘We very much built it from the bottom up and I think there are a lot of lessons for the recovering Liberal Party about how it wants to take on the future of the country.’

He was asked if he had spoken to Daniel in the wake of his victory.

‘The current member,’ he began before correcting himself.

‘The former member has continued to post content on social media suggesting that they wish the count to continue.

‘All I will say is this: after the last election and let’s be very honest about it – it was brutal – but I showed respect to my supporters to the people who voted for me by conceding because I thought it was important to provide a clean slate.

‘But I’ll leave my comments there.’

Wilson was asked repeatedly whether he harboured any ambitions for a leadership position.

‘I had aspiration for one thing and it was to have the great privilege and serve as the member for Goldstein again,’ was his stock response.

But he spoke very much like a man who was preparing to throw his hat into the ring.

Dancing Queen Zoe Daniel has had a topsy-turvy time of it these past few days.

On Saturday night, she declared victory in the Melbourne seat of Goldstein front of her adoring supporters who chanted ‘Zoe! Zoe! Zoe!’

She told them that her victory was a sign that ‘hope wins’. Whatever that means…

But it soon became clear that she’d started celebrating too early.

Daily Mail Australia’s Peter Van Onselen called Goldstein for her Liberal challenger Tim Wilson around lunchtime on Tuesday.

Sky News followed suit, with the slow-moving ABC coming to the same conclusion on Thursday morning.

But still Daniel has yet to concede, claiming she wants to ‘respect the democratic process’.

‘While the media has called the result in Goldstein I will wait for further counting out of respect for my scrutineers and the democratic process,’ she wrote on Facebook.

‘This seems sensible given the margin is in the hundreds and there are about 12 thousand remaining votes to be counted.’

The statement was accompanied by a video of her staffers dancing outside a polling booth.

They may be out of a job but at least their spirits are high.

There are now only 12 seats yet to be finalised for the 150 seat House of Representatives.

Currently the Labor Party has won 87 seats, the Coalition just 40 while there are 10 more held by crossbench independents including teals.

Interestingly not a single Greens lower house seat has been confirmed yet, with only the electorate of Ryan a realistic chance.

Greens leader Adam Bandt’s seat of Melbourne is technically still one of the 12 seats up in the air, but he won’t win it as we forecast when Antony Green and others still thought Bandt would get over the line.

The story of the close counts since election night is that Liberal and National MPs and candidates seemingly on the canvas have fought back hard as postal votes strongly favour them. None more so that Tim Wilson who has now defeated Zoe Daniel in Goldstein even though she claimed victory on the night. What a goose!

Here are the 12 seats still up for grabs and what the state of play is at the moment:

Bean in the ACT: in a stunning turnaround as postal votes are being cast incumbent Labor MP David Smith has fallen behind independent challenger Jessica Price by nearly 1,000 votes. If that trend continues Labor will lose the seat, but yet to be counted absentee votes might tighten the race. Labor probably loses.

Bendigo: this regional Victorian seat is now more likely to go to Labor. The Nationals had a massive swing in their favour but have fallen 1,000 votes behind with Labor increasingly confident of holding on.

Bradfield on Sydney’s north shore is the last non-teal seat Liberals hold in that neck of the woods, but the Liberals candidate hoping to take over from outgoing MP Paul Fletcher is only fractionally in front, by just under 200 votes. Postal votes should see her extend her lead but absentees might bring that back. The teal candidate, Nicole Boele, who hit the headlines during the campaign for all the wrong reasons will need some luck to get over the line.

Bullwinkel is a new seat created in WA on the outskirts of Perth. It was a notional Labor seat by around 3.3 percent but its candidate is in a virtual dead heat right now with Liberal candidate Matt Moran (not the celebrity chef). But there are thousands of FIFO workers who did pre-poll and absentee votes outside the electorate and those votes haven’t yet been counted. Will their working class roots see them vote Labor, or as part of the mining community are they suspicious about a Labor Party that once tried to impose a mining tax? Labor are favourites.

Calwell is a traditionally safe Labor seat and will be held by the government unless the independent challenger can rise high enough in the preference flow to get past the Liberal candidate and benefit from their preferences. Right now it certainly looks more likely Labor hangs on.

Flinders in Victoria is held by Liberal MP Zoe McKenzie and she is ahead of the Labor challenger by 3,100 votes. She will win.

Fremantle incumbent Labor MP Josh Wilson is in the fight of his political life to stave off independent challenger Kate Hulett. He’s 350 votes in front and will need to win the absentees to stay there. Labor are favourites.

Kooyong sees Teal MP Monique Ryan out in from of Liberal challenger Amelia Hamer, by just under 1,000 votes. But that margin has halved and Hamer is likely to overhaul the teal who claimed victory on Saturday night in what would be an embarrassing end to Ryan’s political career. Too close to definitely call but the Liberals are favourites.

Longman is a Liberal held seat in Brisbane and the Liberal MP is narrowly ahead by around 500 votes having taken the lead as postal votes are counted and will extend his lead further as postal votes keep coming in. He should win unless absentee votes turn that around.

Melbourne is held by Greens leader Adam Bandt but not for long. He’s a dead political duck and Labor will win.

Menzies in Melbourne is one of the last Liberal held metropolitan seats. Incumbent Keith Wolahan looked gone on election night but is clawing closer as postals get counted. He’s currently just over 1,000 votes behind which means he’s in with a shot. Too close to call but I expect absentee votes to deliver the seat to Labor.

Monash is a Melbourne electorate held by veteran former Liberal Russel Broadbent. He lost preselection and contested the seat as an independent. Preference flows are all important here. If it’s a fight against the Labor Party and the new Liberal candidate Mary Aldred she will win. At the moment the Liberals are way out in front.

Ryan was won by the Greens off the Liberals at the last election. Liberals hoped to win it back but it looks like the Greens will comfortably hang on, pending something dramatic happening with postals and absentee votes that turns it into a fight against Labor.

Our Political Editor Peter van Onselen also says Bandt is a goner, short of a miracle turnaround.

Find out more about his Labor nemesis:

Dr Monique Ryan is another Teal MP who declared victory too early, only to be forced to walk back her claims.

The former paediatric neurologist declared victory on Saturday night, alongside her sign-snatching husband holding up a ‘Kooyong we did it!’ poster.

She was later forced to admit it was ‘possible’ she could still lose.

Ryan currently leads Liberal Party challenger Amelia Ryan by just 622 votes in the battle for the Melbourne seat of Kooyong.

Over 6,000 postal votes are still to be counted, which are expected to favour Hamer.

PVO was keeping his powder dry this morning, declaring: ‘Too close to definitely call but the Liberals are favourites.’

Ousted Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather has claimed he was ‘personally abused’ by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese during his time in Parliament.

Read what he had to say below:

The Greens would be making a huge mistake not to nominate South Australian Senator Sarah Hanson-Young as their next leader.

She’s a long-serving parliamentarian with far better environmental credentials than any of the other contenders.

She’s also in step with the party membership on social and cultural issues without letting herself be defined by what shouldn’t be core business for the minor party.

If the Greens don’t go with Hanson-Young it is a sure sign that they haven’t learnt the lessons of failures in the House of Representatives.

Hanson-Young would be the best placed Green to lead the party into a new parliament where it will hold the balance of power in the Senate.

She caused a stink earlier this year when she brought a dead fish into the Senate to debate a controversial bill protecting the ‘rotten’ salmon industry (pictured, below).

A chambers she knows well. She is also best placed to negotiate with the Labor government on legislation that gets kicked up to the Senate.

While Hanson-Young has a strong media profile, including a firebrand image on issues she fights for, she’s also rational to deal with in the corridors of power in Canberra.

That certainly can’t be said about every other Green in the parliament.

Peter Dutton is in ‘pretty good spirits’, according to Ben Fordham.

‘The election result is devastating for him but he’s wise enough to know there’s nothing he can do about it now,’ the 2GB broadcaster told his listeners on Wednesday morning.

Fordham, who had an off-air conversation with the former opposition leader, outlined the internal recriminations convulsing the Liberal party, whether it be criticism of their polling, communication or policy agenda.

‘(But) Peter Dutton doesn’t want to buy into any of those excuses,’ Fordham added.

‘In fact, he said to me on the phone: “Albo deserved to win”.’

Fordham then launched into a defence of Dutton’s political legacy, claiming he was responsible for the solving the illegal immigration boats’ crisis.

‘I think when his record is considered, away from this election campaign, he’s got plenty to be proud of,’ he added.

‘My impression is that Peter Dutton is not going to become a miserable ghost. He’s not going to whinge or stay awake at night blaming others.’

A Greens candidate who previously proposed raising registration costs for larger vehicles has failed in her bid to enter federal parliament.

Labor’s Peter Khalil has retained the seat of Wills with 52.11 per cent of the two-candidate-preferred vote, narrowly defeating British-born Greens contender Samantha Ratnam, who received 47.89 per cent.

The final margin was 3,931 votes.

Ratman famously called for the government to increase registration fees and parking for larger vehicles when she was a councillor for Melbourne’s City of Merri-bek.

‘It’s an undeniable fact that super-sized vehicles are dangerous. They have blind spots up to four metres in front of the vehicle,’ Ms Ratnam said.

‘Large utes have a role in regional areas, but these luxury vehicles – that often cost upwards of $100,000 – have significantly higher emissions, and are more dangerous for pedestrians and cyclists than regular passenger cars.

‘If we want to lower our transport emissions and reduce road fatalities, we need to see less of these monster cars on our streets.’

Adam Bandt’s political demise will no doubt be devastating for his biggest cheerleader: Abbie Chatfield.

The media personality, 29, was crying tears of joy on Saturday night as it became apparent that not only were the Liberal Party facing a total wipe-out, but Opposition Leader Peter Dutton was going to suffer the indignity of losing his seat.

‘This is just so relieving,’ she gushed to her followers.

But that relief soon turned to fear and loathing when it became apparent that Bandt might lose his seat.

Chatfield encouraged her legions of young fans to turn out and vote for the Greens leader, even appearing alongside him on stage for a DJ set to prove he was ‘down with the kids’.

She posed on the desk of his parliamentary office in a pair of figure-hugging emerald green slacks (pictured, below) while Bandt sat with his arms crossed in a pair of sunglasses.

Alas, the social media onslaught may not have been enough to save Bandt’s skin.

In a recent video Chatfield said she felt ‘sick’ over his shaky future.

if Adam Bandt loses his… ‘, she added trailing off, apparently unable to countenance the horror of the Greens leader being turfed out of parliament.

She added: ‘The high has worn off, guys, The joy has worn off. Now I want to cry out of sadness.

‘Adam Bandt cannot lose his seat!’

Well, Abbie: he can – and he almost certainly is.

A Teal MP who declared victory and then held a dance party in her office was beaten by the Liberal she turfed out of parliament three years ago.

Zoe Daniel, MP for Goldstein, in Melbourne’s inner south-east suburbs, lapped up the adulation of her adoring supporters as she declared victory on Saturday night.

‘Titanium’ by David Guetta blasted out as the crowd whooped and cheered while she walked to the stage.

Except she’s wasn’t bullet-proof – and she still had everything to lose.

Polling expert Dr Kevin Bonham says Adam Bandt’s political career is over.

‘Melbourne: ALP gain from Green,’ he wrote on X on Tuesday night.

‘Seat has been moved to expected win status (for Labor).’

He said that he avoids ‘calling’ seats but added: ‘I project Bandt at 47.6 in the live count which is not recoverable.’

Labor’s Sarah Witty is currently leading in the race for the seat of Melbourne by an estimated 4,043 votes with a swing of 9.2 per cent, as of Tuesday night.

Bandt needs around a third of preferences to retain his seat but the AEC’s official preference counts reveal flows of under 26 per cent.

Our Political Editor Peter van Onselen also says Bandt is a goner, short of a miracle turnaround.